Lately, more than a few retirees have been asking: “How are our pensions doing?” or “Is the Canada Pension Plan still secure?” These are fair questions, especially in uncertain economic times when the news seems full of mixed messages about markets, inflation, and government budgets.
Let’s take a closer look at the facts, and why there’s good reason to feel confident about the pensions that so many Canadians depend on.
A word of caution, I am not a
financial planner or an expert in finance, these are my thoughts based on some
research and life experience. Take my views with a grain of salt, and do your
own research, and talk to your own financial advisor before you make any changes or moves.
The Big Picture: Pension Plans Are Holding Their Ground
Despite
market ups and downs, the majority of Canadian pension plans, both public and private, appear to be performing steadily and remain
financially sound.
According
to Northern Trust Canada, the median Canadian defined-benefit pension
plan earned a 3.6% return in the third quarter of 2025, and 4.3%
year-to-date through September 30. Another major tracker, RBC Investor
Services, reported even stronger results for its universe of pension plans:
a 4.4% gain in the third quarter and 7.1% year-to-date.
The
difference between the two sets of figures simply reflects the different groups
of plans each company monitors. But what’s most important is that both show
solid positive growth, and that’s
reassuring.
These
returns come after a challenging period in 2022 and early 2023, when inflation
and rising interest rates caused turbulence in investment markets. Pension
funds, however, are designed to ride out these waves. They are diversified
across stocks, bonds, real estate, infrastructure, and private investments.
This diversification cushions the impact of short-term volatility.
Public vs. Private Plans: Both Are Stable
Many
Canadians participate in large public sector plans, like those for
teachers, nurses, municipal employees, and other government workers , while others have corporate or private
employer plans. Both types are proving resilient.
Data from BNY
Mellon’s Canadian Asset Strategy View shows that public plans and private
(corporate) plans have been trading places in terms of quarterly performance, sometimes
one leads, sometimes the other. In recent quarters, both have posted consistent
positive results.
Public
pension plans such as the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan, OMERS,
and HOOPP (Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan) continue to report
healthy funding ratios and strong governance practices. These large funds are
among the most respected in the world for how they manage risk and long-term
growth.
Private or
corporate pension plans, meanwhile, are benefiting from improved interest
rates, which have reduced their long-term liabilities, meaning
they’re in better shape to meet future obligations to retirees.
In simple
terms: whether your pension is public or private, it’s being managed with
care and is built to last.
Why Pension Plans Are Built for the Long Game
Pension
funds don’t make investment decisions based on daily market headlines. They
plan for decades ahead. Most have professional investment managers, oversight
committees, and strict funding requirements set by provincial and federal
regulators.
When the
markets go through a rough patch, plans don’t panic-sell. Instead, they often rebalance,
buying more of what’s undervalued and selling what’s overheated. Over time,
this disciplined approach pays off.
Another key
point: pension plans benefit from what’s called “pooled longevity risk.”
That means because they serve large groups of members, the plans can better
predict how long benefits will be paid and adjust accordingly. This stability
is something individual investors can’t easily replicate on their own.
The Canada Pension Plan: Still One of the Strongest in the World
Alongside
workplace pensions, almost every Canadian is entitled to the Canada Pension
Plan (CPP). Despite some recent rumours and political chatter, the CPP
remains one of the most stable and well-funded national pension systems in
the world.
The Canada
Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB) manages the fund independently from
government, using professional investment strategies that diversify globally.
As of mid-2025, it had over $650 billion in assets, and long-term
actuarial reports continue to confirm that the CPP is sustainable for at
least the next 75 years under current contribution and benefit levels.
So, if
someone tells you “the CPP is running out of money,” you can safely say that’s
simply not true.
What This Means for You
If you’re
retired, or soon to be, it’s natural to feel uneasy when you hear about
inflation, interest rates, or market swings. But the reality is that Canada’s
pension system is doing what it was designed to do: provide steady, reliable
income for life.
Of course,
it’s still wise to keep an eye on your personal finances , maintain a mix of savings, watch your
spending, and stay informed. But there’s no need to lose sleep about your
pension plan suddenly collapsing or being “in trouble.” The evidence shows that
pensions are performing well, funding levels are strong, and oversight
remains rigorous.
In Summary
- Most Canadian pension
plans are stable and
showing positive returns in 2025.
- Public and private
plans alike are
well-managed and built to weather economic cycles.
- The Canada Pension Plan remains financially
sound and sustainable for decades to come.
If you’ve
worked hard your whole life, you deserve peace of mind in retirement and
Canada’s pension framework is doing its part to provide that.
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