This is
interesting, living longer should be good for us, but evidently there is a
problem with a whole bunch of us living longer. The following is part of an on-line
interview with a catastrophist. A catastrophist is a person who specializes in
studying the risk to society as people live longer. The entire interview is here
Dr. Woo, a
Cambridge-trained mathematician and MIT-trained theoretical physicist who now
works for the London-based consultancy RMS, spends his days thinking about
catastrophic risks. Woo is one of the world’s best-respected “catastrophists,”
and RMS—short for Risk Management Solutions—helps insurers and reinsurers
calculate the likelihood of disastrous earthquakes, hurricanes, droughts,
terrorist attacks, financial crises, and other hazards. Lately, Woo has been
thinking a lot about the risks posed by climate change, which could have a huge
impact on the catastrophes of the future, altering sea levels, weather
patterns, migration patterns, and much more. But Woo’s other major
preoccupation these days is the risks posed by people living longer.
In his closing statement, Dr.
Woo says:
Well, cancer does not make that much
difference, either; if an ageing person does not die of cancer, they will
die of heart disease. The real issue is that the ageing process can be
arrested. The biggest cause of death is not cancer or heart disease. The
biggest cause of death is ageing. If you can slow down the process of ageing, you
are slowing down all causes of death.
This is new
territory for mankind. There is an interesting book called “Positively Ninety.”
It is a series of interviews with nonagenarians who are all very lively. My favourite
is the cover woman, who actually plays competitive Scrabble at the age of 90. She
is very sharp, has a very positive attitude towards life, and a very good
network of friends and family. If you read these interviews with positive
nonagenarians, you will get a glimpse into the future, because a high
proportion of people will be just like that. The 90s will be like the 80s
today. In addition, it will become commonplace to reach 100. In fact, for a
baby born today, the expectation is already that they will live to 100.
No comments:
Post a Comment