There is
some interesting news out of South Africa, which relates to how people make
monetary decisions when they have to convert retirement saving to retirement
income. In Canada those who have money in their Registered Retirement Savings
Plan, must convert these to a Registered Retirement Income Fund in the year the
person turns 71. Many other countries have plans when at retirement,
individuals must convert their accumulated savings into income.
According to
Economics the optimal strategy for retirees is to try and secure a guaranteed
income for life using life annuities.
A survey
conducted by Just Retirement South
Africa in 2016 revealed that 86% of people surveyed, between the ages of 55
and 85, preferred a guaranteed income for life in retirement. The 2015 Sanlam Benchmark survey
showed a similar result, with 87% of people surveyed wanting certainty of
income for life. But the reality is much different, the Association for Savings &
Investment SA (ASISA) statistics reveal that 90% of 2015 annuity sales were
of living annuities, which provide no explicit long term protection.
This
observation has become known across the world as ‘the annuity puzzle’. Economists
describe the annuity puzzle as a problem of maximizing lifetime expected
utility.
It can be
explained by recognizing that in the real world people do not make decisions by
taking into account all costs and benefits. Instead, people are influenced by
psychological factors and what’s considered socially acceptable or popular, and
their preferences depend on how information and choices are presented to them.
The
World Development Report (2015), ‘Mind, Society and Behaviour’, summarises
hundreds of studies and behavioural finance research into one framework. The
framework rests on three principles of human decision-making: thinking
socially, thinking with mental models and thinking automatically.
These
factors help to explain why when faced with this decision retirees currently
convert their savings into income using living annuities:
· Thinking socially. We have become accustomed to high
real returns. Hence, investing (rather than annuitising) at retirement has
become popular, with much marketing in the industry focussed on providing
long-term returns, and not on how individuals can convert savings into income.
· Thinking with mental models. When Investment framing is used at
retirement instead of consumption framing research in the US and the
Netherlands has shown that this has a significant impact on an individual’s
ultimate decision. If investment framing is popular, instead of converting
those savings into income, people will want to invest those savings. There is
very limited evidence of individuals being presented with a comprehensive
framework (and hence mental models) with which to understand the trade-off
between living and life annuities, given their circumstances.
· Thinking automatically. The benefits and risks of the
available annuity options at retirement are complex areas to navigate. In the
face of such complexity, people end up thinking automatically when faced with
the decision of how to convert their savings into income – based on what they
have heard from others (thinking socially) and using the rules of thumb
available in the industry (mental models created over the years, founded on how
to invest rather than how to convert capital into income).
One of the
solutions put forward in South Africa, was for retirement funds to adopt
default annuity strategies. Many retirement funds, especially umbrella funds,
have started adopting default annuity strategies by making arrangements
available for individuals to retire within the fund. It’s been shown that
introducing defaults in other areas of finance can improve the ultimate
decision making by individuals. It’s anticipated that default annuity
strategies would be similarly successful.
In the
financial planning industry, advisers can assist to improve their clients’
decisions on how to convert savings into an income at retirement. They can do
so by introducing a ‘consumption framing’ approach, whereby appropriate mental
models are created to enable an individual to trade-off between the main
objectives at retirement (e.g. providing for lifetime spending needs and
liquidity or an inheritance).
Based on an individual’s circumstances, including
their main retirement objectives, the most optimal investment strategy at
retirement can be recommended. This includes the proportions between living
annuities and life annuities and the asset allocation for the living annuity
component.
All these
interventions capitalize on behavioural finance techniques; it is believed that
by making use of these techniques, individuals’ decisions about how to convert
accumulated savings into an income can be improved, ultimately leading to
pensioners securing more sustainable incomes into retirement.
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